tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6734272724196423841.post8428672159050509118..comments2023-11-03T05:53:58.211-04:00Comments on CFG Analysis: 2015 CFG Analysis Games Pick 'Em Now OpenAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11451889274303028096noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6734272724196423841.post-77095438045415166682015-07-21T21:16:54.165-04:002015-07-21T21:16:54.165-04:00I revised my entry for my female picks! Late notic...I revised my entry for my female picks! Late notice but thank you!Nickihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18379716318964065935noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6734272724196423841.post-62869526800933691572015-07-21T16:43:44.220-04:002015-07-21T16:43:44.220-04:00Please delete first entry - only totaled 50 points...Please delete first entry - only totaled 50 points instead of 100. Thanks! Chris MeldrumMelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08365230515224456766noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6734272724196423841.post-37238893930449487982015-07-17T09:26:38.229-04:002015-07-17T09:26:38.229-04:00Will do. I accidentally posted it last night befo...Will do. I accidentally posted it last night before making that change, but I'll get it updated the next time I post all the picks. You are not the first one to make this mistake.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11451889274303028096noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6734272724196423841.post-29669587016740250282015-07-16T10:53:11.414-04:002015-07-16T10:53:11.414-04:00I would like to write in Rich Froning. I know he i...I would like to write in Rich Froning. I know he is not competing, but I still think he has a 63.87% chance of winning it all. <br /><br />Just saying. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05981681610744890619noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6734272724196423841.post-1522242165101276462015-07-16T10:03:22.841-04:002015-07-16T10:03:22.841-04:00Because I cannot read, I thought the points were 1...Because I cannot read, I thought the points were 100 per sex vs 50. Can you divided my submission by 2? TitanFithttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14341635685854832585noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6734272724196423841.post-11068487421444558402015-07-07T17:28:25.727-04:002015-07-07T17:28:25.727-04:00I think in general things are pretty similar. Las...I think in general things are pretty similar. Last year each men and women had 3 athletes with >9% chance of winning, and this year I only have 2 athletes on each side >9% chance. I did tweak a few things, such as giving a slight advantage to returning athletes, limiting the number of simulated events to 12 (rather than 15) and forcing each simulation to contain a strength event. Those changes had relatively small impacts, but they could be contributing to the fact that there are fewer "contenders." It also could just be the way the field shakes out this year (a smaller number of athletes have really separated themselves from the rest).<br /><br />No one is as big of a favorite as Froning last year (49%), and Camille isn't quite as big of a favorite as she was last year (38%). Personally, I feel better about this year's picks. I think there are fewer holes and I think most of the predictions pass the sniff test.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11451889274303028096noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6734272724196423841.post-2398743543450406152015-07-07T17:11:29.458-04:002015-07-07T17:11:29.458-04:00How do your predictions for this season compare to...How do your predictions for this season compare to last season? I seem to remember your model last year predicted more athletes with a better chance of winning. This year Fraser and Kara Webb and Camille are heavy favorites. Am I remembering correctly?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17626937483776824059noreply@blogger.com