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Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Fun with SWAGs: What Will 13.2 Be?

Ok, it's time to cut the crap and make some bold predictions. And since we don't have enough data to support any sort of reasonable estimate, we'll go with the next-best thing: a scientific wild-ass guess (SWAG). Margin of error: a freaking ton. Reward if I nail it: bragging rights for a year and the possibility that people may consider me a wizard. Let's go for it!

Ok, first for the "science."  We can rule out snatch and burpees since they appeared in 13.1 and we haven't seen a movement appear in back to back WODs before. Let's assume the movements will be one(s) that have appeared in the Open before, which limits us to basically 12 movements (see my post "What to expect from the 2013 Open and beyond" for this list). Based on the fact that 13.1 was relatively long (3rd longest of 12 Open WODs), my assumption is that 13.2 will be much shorter. 13.1 had some heavy and light loading, plus some body weight movement, so I can't really infer much about the loading for 13.2. We had a couplet to start, so I'm going to rule out a couplet in 13.2 (probably not justified, but just go with it). I'm doubting a single modality because I doubt HQ wants to put that much stock in any of the other movements remaining. Also, I don't think they'll repeat 11.6/12.5 again, so I say they throw in thrusters or pull ups here.

So, with that as our background, let's make something up. Here goes:

AMRAP 8 of 25 double-unders, 10 deadlifts (225/135), 10 chest-to-bar pull-ups

So there you have it. Get to work on your double-unders, deads and pull-ups. You can take that to the bank!

Oh, and Annie beats Lindsey by a score of 402-388. Guaranteed.


  1. 1 out of 3 movements right, not bad! :)

    Too bad the loading on the deadlift was a complete joke...

  2. Yeah, I actually got the time domain pretty close as well as the fact that it was a triplet, but the loading was quite a bit less than expected and of course I didn't nail the movements. But as far as SWAG's go, I'd say it was a pretty decent guess.

    Now, as for what I think about 13.2 itself, more on that in a full post soon.