LAST UPDATE: FINAL
Quick Thoughts on the Games so far [UPDATED MORNING OF 7/27]:
- Not quite sure how Rich Froning is back in front after the past three days. He's had so many finishes in the 20's that it's pretty shocking he could still be in first, but his ability to rack up first and second place finishes has been crucial with this scoring system. I haven't had time to do the math on this yet, but my guess is that Mat Fraser would be in front if the regionals scoring system was used.
- Camille Leblanc-Bazinet looks to be running away with this on the women's side. I mentioned it to a friend of mine prior to the Games that the fact that she has had so little hype, especially compared to Julie Foucher, might really help her mentally at the Games. I'd like to note that Camille was a 38% shot to win the Games here on CFG Analysis, but was not in Pat Sherwood's top 8 competitors. Just a note.
- On the flip side, the pressure on Julie Foucher may have been too much. For whatever reason, she was the focus of so much hype in the community this year, and the Games really haven't turned out quite like people expected for her. That being said, she still has a shot at the podium if she can put together a couple solid finishes today.
- Spectator-wise, Saturday's events were definitely the best of the three days so far. The muscle-up biathlon made for some tremendous drama, and the men's final in the push-pull event had quite possibly the most intense finish that we've seen in the Games history. It certainly helped that the men's competition (finally) is actually close, and that race really meant something. [END 7/27 UPDATES]
- [7/26 UPDATES BELOW]
- It probably goes without saying that this will be the toughest test Rich Froning has faced since he finished second in 2010. He desparately needed that win in 21-15-9, but now that he established that he can still dominate in a traditional CrossFit workout, I would still consider him the favorite despite sitting in fourth right now.
- Of the men in front of him, I think Josh Bridges has the best shot to take him down. While I don't think Khalipa will fall far, I also think that he generally has a hard time beating Froning in the traditional workouts, so I expect Froning will continue to gain on him the rest of the weekend. But Bridges is one of just a handful of people that can beat Froning on the classic CrossFit workouts if they're in his wheelhouse.
- If Julie Foucher isn't able to make some ground up quickly today, this is set up to be a two-horse race on the women's side. Camille has survived the early workouts, which typically have hurt her in the past, and the remainder of the weekend should set up well for her.
- Interesting that none of our 25 participants picked current leaders Kara Webb or Jason Khalipa to win. Khalipa is popular enough that I am surprised no one took a flier on him at something like 70:1. It's a little more understandable on the women's side, since Kara Webb wasn't quite as good of a payoff at 18:1 and Julie Foucher seemed like a great value at 6:1.[END 7/26/UPDATES]