Today's podcast covers the method behind the madness of predicting each Regional athlete's chances of making the Games. I'll post the week 1 predictions early-mid next week, and we'll have another podcast talking about the events themselves.
Since I never posted it last year, here's the final calibration plot of how last year's predictions ended up. Things shaped up pretty well. The mean-square error was 4.02%, compared with 4.43% in 2013 and 6.07% if you gave every athlete the same chance of qualifying.